RSI(2) mean reversion on Crypto

The rules, exactly as run

Only when the close is above its 200-day average — no catching knives in a downtrend.
Buy at the close when the 2-day RSI closes below 10.
Sell at the close when price closes back above its 5-day average.
Long only, one position per symbol at a time.

Live

Return, live

+4.0%

over 13 trades the agent called

Win rate

100%

Per trade

+2.130%

Still open

If you had put in $100

$100.00

Live calls only, and positions still open are included at today’s price — a rule that holds for months would otherwise read as having done nothing while sitting on a year of gains. Only settled trades are counted underneath. The backfilled record below is the rules replayed over history they have already seen — turning that into a dollar figure would be money invented out of hindsight. Reset the counter whenever you like; it is kept in your browser, not in the journal.

Live so far

RSI(2) mean reversionJust owning BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, ADA, DOGE, LINK, AVAX and LTC

Backfilled: 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-05

RSI(2) mean reversionJust owning BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, ADA, DOGE, LINK, AVAX and LTC

The shape of the trades

Best trade

+391.4%

Worst trade

-53.9%

Median trade

+1.49%

t-statistic

+1.60

under 2 is noise

Versus doing nothing

	Return	Worst fall	Trades	Win rate	Per trade	Days holding
RSI(2) mean reversion	+49%	-42%	522	64%	+1.325%	6%
Just owning BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, ADA, DOGE, LINK, AVAX and LTC	+6221%	-91%	—	—	—	100%

The catch

This is the highest win rate of the three by a mile, and that is exactly what makes it dangerous to read. It wins small and often by buying into falling prices; when a fall keeps going, there is no stop to save it. Watch the worst trade, not the win rate.

Trades, newest first

Entered	Held	At	Exited	Return	Why
2026-10-03	DOGE-USD	0.0928	2026-10-04	+3.33%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-30	ETH-USD	2,672	2026-10-01	+0.68%	the next bar the feed still has
2026-09-29	XRP-USD	1.477	2026-09-30	+1.27%	the next bar the feed still has
2026-09-29	LTC-USD	66.83	2026-10-02	+2.77%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-29	ETH-USD	2,667	2026-09-30	+0.20%	the next bar the feed still has
2026-09-29	BTC-USD	83,078	2026-09-30	+0.41%	the next bar the feed still has
2026-09-15	LTC-USD	51.27	2026-09-17	+5.23%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-13	LINK-USD	11.20	2026-09-14	+2.81%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-10	XRP-USD	1.335	2026-09-13	+2.35%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-10	SOL-USD	98.67	2026-09-11	+3.84%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-10	LTC-USD	52.12	2026-09-12	+2.15%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-10	ETH-USD	2,438	2026-09-11	+3.21%	closed above the 5-day average
2026-09-10	BTC-USD	76,569	2026-09-14	+2.12%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-12-12 backfill	BNB-USD	881.87	2025-12-13	+1.73%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-11-12 backfill	BNB-USD	953.01	2025-11-18	-2.11%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-11-03 backfill	ETH-USD	3,602	2025-11-07	-4.66%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-11-03 backfill	BNB-USD	992.54	2025-11-07	-0.24%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-30 backfill	SOL-USD	184.62	2025-11-07	-12.40%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-30 backfill	ETH-USD	3,804	2025-11-02	+2.67%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-17 backfill	BNB-USD	1,072	2025-10-23	+5.19%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-16 backfill	BTC-USD	108,186	2025-10-19	+0.41%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-10 backfill	SOL-USD	188.66	2025-10-13	+10.75%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-10 backfill	ETH-USD	3,843	2025-10-12	+8.42%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-10 backfill	BTC-USD	113,214	2025-10-13	+2.12%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-10 backfill	BNB-USD	1,107	2025-10-12	+18.16%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-07 backfill	XRP-USD	2.856	2025-10-13	-8.65%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-10-07 backfill	AVAX-USD	27.93	2025-10-13	-14.79%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-25 backfill	AVAX-USD	28.66	2025-09-28	+4.78%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	XRP-USD	2.853	2025-09-24	+2.56%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	SOL-USD	220.50	2025-09-28	-4.33%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	LTC-USD	105.82	2025-09-28	+1.16%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	LINK-USD	21.66	2025-09-28	+0.14%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	ETH-USD	4,203	2025-09-28	-1.36%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	DOGE-USD	0.2413	2025-09-28	-1.60%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	BTC-USD	112,749	2025-09-28	-0.43%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-22 backfill	ADA-USD	0.8258	2025-09-28	-2.06%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-09-01 backfill	BNB-USD	845.83	2025-09-03	+1.07%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-08-31 backfill	XRP-USD	2.777	2025-09-02	+3.11%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-08-31 backfill	ADA-USD	0.8114	2025-09-02	+2.91%	closed above the 5-day average
2025-08-25 backfill	LTC-USD	109.44	2025-08-28	+4.13%	closed above the 5-day average

Showing the latest 40 of 535 — the full history lives in journal.json.

Activity — what the agent actually did

01:03:09█run finished — 55,052 trades on record

01:03:09●fetch BTC-USD daily max → 3337 bars for btc-trend

01:03:05●fetch VNM.VN daily max → 3752 bars for vn-trend

01:03:05●fetch VIC.VN daily max → 3761 bars for vn-trend

01:03:05●fetch VCB.VN daily max → 4303 bars for vn-trend

01:03:05●fetch SSI.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend

01:03:04●fetch MWG.VN daily max → 3158 bars for vn-trend

01:03:04●fetch HPG.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend

01:03:04●fetch FPT.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend

01:03:03●fetch TQQQ daily max → 4186 bars for trend3x

01:03:03●fetch QQQ daily max → 6935 bars (safe asset for trend3x)

01:03:03●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3219 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2205 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2820 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2650 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3094 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3256 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3077 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2247 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:02●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)

01:03:02●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:01●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:01●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:01●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:00●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:00●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for dual-momentum

01:03:00●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:59●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:59●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)

01:02:59●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:58●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:58●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:58●fetch XLF daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:57●fetch XLK daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:57●fetch EEM daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:57●fetch EFA daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:57●fetch MDY daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:56●fetch DIA daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:56●fetch IWM daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:56●fetch QQQ daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:56●fetch SPY daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

01:02:56●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)

01:02:55●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3219 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2205 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2820 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2650 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3094 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3256 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3077 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2247 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:55●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:54●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:54●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:54●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:53●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:53●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:53●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:52●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:52●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:52●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:51●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:51●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:51●fetch XLF daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:50●fetch XLK daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:50●fetch EEM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:50●fetch EFA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:49●fetch MDY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:49●fetch DIA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:49●fetch IWM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:49●fetch QQQ daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:49●fetch SPY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol

01:02:49●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3219 bars for momentum

01:02:45●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2205 bars for momentum

01:02:42●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2820 bars for momentum

01:02:39●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2650 bars for momentum

01:02:36●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3094 bars for momentum

01:02:33●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3256 bars for momentum

01:02:28●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3077 bars for momentum

01:02:25●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2247 bars for momentum

01:02:22●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum

01:02:18●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum

01:02:14●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for momentum

01:02:14●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for momentum

01:02:13●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for momentum

01:02:13●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for momentum

01:02:12●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum

01:02:12●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for momentum

01:02:11●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum

01:02:11●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum

01:02:10●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:10●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:09●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:09●fetch XLF daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:08●fetch XLK daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:08●fetch EEM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:07●fetch EFA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:07●fetch MDY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:06●fetch DIA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:06●fetch IWM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:06●fetch QQQ daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:05●fetch SPY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum

01:02:05▲OPEN overnight LTC-USD @ 70.66 (crypto)

01:02:05▼CLOSE overnight LTC-USD +0.00% — the next open

01:02:00●fetch LTC-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:57▲OPEN overnight AVAX-USD @ 10.99 (crypto)

01:01:57▼CLOSE overnight AVAX-USD +0.00% — the next open

01:01:52●fetch AVAX-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:49▲OPEN overnight LINK-USD @ 14.22 (crypto)

01:01:49▼CLOSE overnight LINK-USD -0.01% — the next open

01:01:45●fetch LINK-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:42▲OPEN overnight DOGE-USD @ 0.0963 (crypto)

01:01:42▼CLOSE overnight DOGE-USD +0.00% — the next open

01:01:39●fetch DOGE-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:36▲OPEN overnight ADA-USD @ 0.2633 (crypto)

01:01:36▼CLOSE overnight ADA-USD +0.00% — the next open

01:01:32●fetch ADA-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:29▲OPEN overnight BNB-USD @ 795.9 (crypto)

01:01:29▼CLOSE overnight BNB-USD -0.00% — the next open

01:01:25●fetch BNB-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:21▲OPEN overnight XRP-USD @ 1.522 (crypto)

01:01:21▼CLOSE overnight XRP-USD -0.01% — the next open

01:01:20●fetch XRP-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:16▲OPEN overnight SOL-USD @ 121.2 (crypto)

01:01:16▼CLOSE overnight SOL-USD -0.01% — the next open

01:01:15●fetch SOL-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:12▲OPEN overnight ETH-USD @ 2,727 (crypto)

01:01:12▼CLOSE overnight ETH-USD -0.00% — the next open

01:01:11●fetch ETH-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:01:07▲OPEN overnight BTC-USD @ 8.657e+04 (crypto)

01:01:07▼CLOSE overnight BTC-USD +0.00% — the next open

01:01:06●fetch BTC-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight

01:00:59●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 5y → 725 bars for overnight

01:00:53●fetch VNM.VN daily 5y → 1296 bars for overnight

01:00:48●fetch VIC.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight

01:00:43●fetch VCB.VN daily 5y → 1296 bars for overnight

01:00:37●fetch SSI.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight

01:00:32●fetch MWG.VN daily 5y → 1296 bars for overnight

01:00:28●fetch HPG.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight

01:00:23●fetch FPT.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight

01:00:21●fetch XLI daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:19●fetch XLV daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:16●fetch XLE daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:14●fetch XLF daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:13●fetch XLK daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:11●fetch EEM daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:09●fetch EFA daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:07●fetch MDY daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:06●fetch DIA daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:05●fetch IWM daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:04●fetch QQQ daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:04●fetch SPY daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight

01:00:04●fetch LTC-USD daily 10y → 3219 bars for rsi2

00:59:58●fetch AVAX-USD daily 10y → 2205 bars for rsi2

00:59:55●fetch LINK-USD daily 10y → 2820 bars for rsi2

00:59:52▼CLOSE rsi2 DOGE-USD +3.33% — closed above the 5-day average

00:59:52●fetch DOGE-USD daily 10y → 2650 bars for rsi2

00:59:49●fetch ADA-USD daily 10y → 3094 bars for rsi2

00:59:45●fetch BNB-USD daily 10y → 3256 bars for rsi2

00:59:41●fetch XRP-USD daily 10y → 3077 bars for rsi2

00:59:37●fetch SOL-USD daily 10y → 2247 bars for rsi2

00:59:34●fetch ETH-USD daily 10y → 3337 bars for rsi2

00:59:30●fetch BTC-USD daily 10y → 3337 bars for rsi2

00:59:26●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 10y → 2021 bars for rsi2

00:59:25●fetch VNM.VN daily 10y → 2588 bars for rsi2

00:59:25●fetch VIC.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2

00:59:25●fetch VCB.VN daily 10y → 2588 bars for rsi2

00:59:24●fetch SSI.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2

00:59:24●fetch MWG.VN daily 10y → 2588 bars for rsi2

00:59:24●fetch HPG.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2

00:59:23●fetch FPT.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2

00:59:23●fetch XLI daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:22●fetch XLV daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:22●fetch XLE daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:22●fetch XLF daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:21●fetch XLK daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:21●fetch EEM daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:21●fetch EFA daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:21●fetch MDY daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:20●fetch DIA daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:20●fetch IWM daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:20●fetch QQQ daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:19●fetch SPY daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2

00:59:19█daily run started — 8 strategies × 3 baskets

00:44:40█run finished — 55,051 trades on record

00:44:40●fetch BTC-USD daily max → 3336 bars for btc-trend

00:44:37●fetch VNM.VN daily max → 3752 bars for vn-trend

00:44:37●fetch VIC.VN daily max → 3761 bars for vn-trend

00:44:37●fetch VCB.VN daily max → 4303 bars for vn-trend

00:44:37●fetch SSI.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend

00:44:37●fetch MWG.VN daily max → 3158 bars for vn-trend

00:44:37●fetch HPG.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend

00:44:37●fetch FPT.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend

00:44:36●fetch TQQQ daily max → 4186 bars for trend3x

00:44:36●fetch QQQ daily max → 6935 bars (safe asset for trend3x)

00:44:35●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3218 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2204 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2819 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2649 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3093 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3255 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3076 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2246 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3336 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3336 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:35●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)

00:44:35●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:34●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:34●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:34●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:33●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:33●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:33●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:33●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:33●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)

00:44:32●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:32●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

00:44:32●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

Written by the agent as it ran, not composed for this page afterwards. The log is shared across every strategy because one run computes them all — that is genuinely how it works.