▌ STRATEGIES
usvietnamcrypto

← back to every strategy on vietnam

Basket trend (Vietnam only)

Ask the whole basket one question a month instead of asking every stock its own — in a market where the stocks herd together, the basket's answer is the cleaner one.

The rules, exactly as run

  1. At each month end, check the equal-weight basket's 12-month return.
  2. Positive: hold all seven stocks, equal weight, from the next open.
  3. Negative: sell everything at the next open and sit in cash.
  4. Roughly one flip a year, so HOSE's ~1% round-trip cost stays a rounding error instead of the whole story.

Status

No live trades yet. A trade only counts as live if the agent opened it on the day it happened, before anyone knew how it would end.

Everything on this board is backfilled — the rules replayed over history they have already seen, which is a sanity check and not a track record.

If you had put in $100

$100.00

Live calls only, and positions still open are included at today’s price — a rule that holds for months would otherwise read as having done nothing while sitting on a year of gains. Only settled trades are counted underneath. The backfilled record below is the rules replayed over history they have already seen — turning that into a dollar figure would be money invented out of hindsight. Reset the counter whenever you like; it is kept in your browser, not in the journal.

Backfilled: 2010-02-22 to 2026-10-02

Basket trend (Vietnam only)Just owning FPT.VN, HPG.VN, MWG.VN, SSI.VN, VCB.VN, VIC.VN, VNM.VN and E1VFVN30.VN
-100%+300%+700%+1100% 0% +1018%+816% 2012-05-01 2026-10-02

The shape of the trades

Best trade
+867.6%
Worst trade
-33.7%
Median trade
+9.38%
t-statistic
+3.14
under 2 is noise

Versus doing nothing

ReturnWorst fallTradesWin ratePer tradeDays holding
Basket trend (Vietnam only)+1018%-28%4856%+76.986%63%
Just owning FPT.VN, HPG.VN, MWG.VN, SSI.VN, VCB.VN, VIC.VN, VNM.VN and E1VFVN30.VN+904%-63%———100%

The catch

Read this page as a measurement, not a recommendation. The rule beats a MONTHLY-REBALANCED equal-weight basket on both halves of its lab window — and still loses to the laziest alternative of all, buying the seven stocks once and never touching them (+508% net against +930%), because the biggest winners made much of their run during windows the basket signal sat out. Two rounds of testing have not found a Vietnamese rule that beats doing nothing; this page exists to show that honestly rather than to sell the nearest miss. Survivorship flatters every Vietnamese backtest on top: the fully-delisted 2017-era momentum favourites cannot be fetched at all.

Trades, newest first

EnteredHeldAtExitedReturnWhy
2025-06-02 backfillVNM.VN50,7722026-10-01+16.99%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2025-06-02 backfillVIC.VN49,3502026-10-01+359.78%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2025-06-02 backfillVCB.VN55,6292026-10-01+4.26%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2025-06-02 backfillSSI.VN16,4282026-10-01+22.66%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2025-06-02 backfillMWG.VN60,1822026-10-01+19.97%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2025-06-02 backfillHPG.VN19,0462026-10-01+5.80%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2025-06-02 backfillFPT.VN98,0442026-10-01-29.32%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillVNM.VN57,7582025-05-01-10.92%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillVIC.VN25,7502025-05-01+32.04%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillVCB.VN83,3692025-05-01-32.33%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillSSI.VN24,5762025-05-01+15.67%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillMWG.VN41,4462025-05-01+42.40%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillHPG.VN17,7202025-05-01+7.06%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2023-07-03 backfillFPT.VN52,8992025-05-01+74.05%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillVNM.VN72,4472022-06-01-23.88%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillVIC.VN40,0892022-06-01-1.97%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillVCB.VN53,3772022-06-01+23.39%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillSSI.VN7,9962022-06-01+206.50%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillMWG.VN28,9642022-06-01+137.05%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillHPG.VN9,1702022-06-01+91.64%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-09-01 backfillFPT.VN21,0052022-06-01+160.70%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillVNM.VN68,0232020-07-01-0.80%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillVIC.VN43,1112020-07-01-6.70%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillVCB.VN54,9852020-07-01-6.08%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillSSI.VN4,1432020-07-01+0.34%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillMWG.VN26,2352020-07-01-4.49%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillHPG.VN8,4952020-07-01-2.88%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2020-06-01 backfillFPT.VN19,9422020-07-01-4.17%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillVNM.VN70,8952020-03-02-12.89%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillVIC.VN51,8672020-03-02-10.88%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillVCB.VN45,3902020-03-02+15.47%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillSSI.VN5,7492020-03-02-33.07%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillMWG.VN28,9952020-03-02+13.90%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillHPG.VN7,0892020-03-02-4.31%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2019-07-01 backfillFPT.VN16,0062020-03-02+22.08%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2014-07-15 backfillMWG.VN4,4852019-01-01+487.28%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2012-10-01 backfillVNM.VN17,2302019-01-01+307.32%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2012-10-01 backfillVIC.VN8,6872019-01-01+423.88%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2012-10-01 backfillVCB.VN9,1492019-01-01+273.86%the basket's 12-month return turned negative
2012-10-01 backfillSSI.VN2,1562019-01-01+187.44%the basket's 12-month return turned negative

Showing the latest 40 of 48 — the full history lives in journal.json.

Activity — what the agent actually did

01:03:09█run finished — 55,052 trades on record
01:03:09●fetch BTC-USD daily max → 3337 bars for btc-trend
01:03:05●fetch VNM.VN daily max → 3752 bars for vn-trend
01:03:05●fetch VIC.VN daily max → 3761 bars for vn-trend
01:03:05●fetch VCB.VN daily max → 4303 bars for vn-trend
01:03:05●fetch SSI.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend
01:03:04●fetch MWG.VN daily max → 3158 bars for vn-trend
01:03:04●fetch HPG.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend
01:03:04●fetch FPT.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend
01:03:03●fetch TQQQ daily max → 4186 bars for trend3x
01:03:03●fetch QQQ daily max → 6935 bars (safe asset for trend3x)
01:03:03●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3219 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2205 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2820 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2650 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3094 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3256 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3077 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2247 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:02●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)
01:03:02●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:01●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:01●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:01●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:00●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:00●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for dual-momentum
01:03:00●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:59●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:59●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)
01:02:59●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:58●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:58●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:58●fetch XLF daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:57●fetch XLK daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:57●fetch EEM daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:57●fetch EFA daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:57●fetch MDY daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:56●fetch DIA daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:56●fetch IWM daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:56●fetch QQQ daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:56●fetch SPY daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
01:02:56●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)
01:02:55●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3219 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2205 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2820 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2650 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3094 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3256 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3077 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2247 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:55●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:54●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:54●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:54●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:53●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:53●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:53●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:52●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:52●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:52●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:51●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:51●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:51●fetch XLF daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:50●fetch XLK daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:50●fetch EEM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:50●fetch EFA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:49●fetch MDY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:49●fetch DIA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:49●fetch IWM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:49●fetch QQQ daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:49●fetch SPY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum-vol
01:02:49●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3219 bars for momentum
01:02:45●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2205 bars for momentum
01:02:42●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2820 bars for momentum
01:02:39●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2650 bars for momentum
01:02:36●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3094 bars for momentum
01:02:33●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3256 bars for momentum
01:02:28●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3077 bars for momentum
01:02:25●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2247 bars for momentum
01:02:22●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum
01:02:18●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3337 bars for momentum
01:02:14●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for momentum
01:02:14●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for momentum
01:02:13●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for momentum
01:02:13●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for momentum
01:02:12●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum
01:02:12●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for momentum
01:02:11●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum
01:02:11●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for momentum
01:02:10●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:10●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:09●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:09●fetch XLF daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:08●fetch XLK daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:08●fetch EEM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:07●fetch EFA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:07●fetch MDY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:06●fetch DIA daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:06●fetch IWM daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:06●fetch QQQ daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:05●fetch SPY daily 20y → 5031 bars for momentum
01:02:05▲OPEN overnight LTC-USD @ 70.66 (crypto)
01:02:05▼CLOSE overnight LTC-USD +0.00% — the next open
01:02:00●fetch LTC-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:57▲OPEN overnight AVAX-USD @ 10.99 (crypto)
01:01:57▼CLOSE overnight AVAX-USD +0.00% — the next open
01:01:52●fetch AVAX-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:49▲OPEN overnight LINK-USD @ 14.22 (crypto)
01:01:49▼CLOSE overnight LINK-USD -0.01% — the next open
01:01:45●fetch LINK-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:42▲OPEN overnight DOGE-USD @ 0.0963 (crypto)
01:01:42▼CLOSE overnight DOGE-USD +0.00% — the next open
01:01:39●fetch DOGE-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:36▲OPEN overnight ADA-USD @ 0.2633 (crypto)
01:01:36▼CLOSE overnight ADA-USD +0.00% — the next open
01:01:32●fetch ADA-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:29▲OPEN overnight BNB-USD @ 795.9 (crypto)
01:01:29▼CLOSE overnight BNB-USD -0.00% — the next open
01:01:25●fetch BNB-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:21▲OPEN overnight XRP-USD @ 1.522 (crypto)
01:01:21▼CLOSE overnight XRP-USD -0.01% — the next open
01:01:20●fetch XRP-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:16▲OPEN overnight SOL-USD @ 121.2 (crypto)
01:01:16▼CLOSE overnight SOL-USD -0.01% — the next open
01:01:15●fetch SOL-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:12▲OPEN overnight ETH-USD @ 2,727 (crypto)
01:01:12▼CLOSE overnight ETH-USD -0.00% — the next open
01:01:11●fetch ETH-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:01:07▲OPEN overnight BTC-USD @ 8.657e+04 (crypto)
01:01:07▼CLOSE overnight BTC-USD +0.00% — the next open
01:01:06●fetch BTC-USD daily 5y → 1827 bars for overnight
01:00:59●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 5y → 725 bars for overnight
01:00:53●fetch VNM.VN daily 5y → 1296 bars for overnight
01:00:48●fetch VIC.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight
01:00:43●fetch VCB.VN daily 5y → 1296 bars for overnight
01:00:37●fetch SSI.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight
01:00:32●fetch MWG.VN daily 5y → 1296 bars for overnight
01:00:28●fetch HPG.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight
01:00:23●fetch FPT.VN daily 5y → 1305 bars for overnight
01:00:21●fetch XLI daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:19●fetch XLV daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:16●fetch XLE daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:14●fetch XLF daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:13●fetch XLK daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:11●fetch EEM daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:09●fetch EFA daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:07●fetch MDY daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:06●fetch DIA daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:05●fetch IWM daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:04●fetch QQQ daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:04●fetch SPY daily 5y → 1255 bars for overnight
01:00:04●fetch LTC-USD daily 10y → 3219 bars for rsi2
00:59:58●fetch AVAX-USD daily 10y → 2205 bars for rsi2
00:59:55●fetch LINK-USD daily 10y → 2820 bars for rsi2
00:59:52▼CLOSE rsi2 DOGE-USD +3.33% — closed above the 5-day average
00:59:52●fetch DOGE-USD daily 10y → 2650 bars for rsi2
00:59:49●fetch ADA-USD daily 10y → 3094 bars for rsi2
00:59:45●fetch BNB-USD daily 10y → 3256 bars for rsi2
00:59:41●fetch XRP-USD daily 10y → 3077 bars for rsi2
00:59:37●fetch SOL-USD daily 10y → 2247 bars for rsi2
00:59:34●fetch ETH-USD daily 10y → 3337 bars for rsi2
00:59:30●fetch BTC-USD daily 10y → 3337 bars for rsi2
00:59:26●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 10y → 2021 bars for rsi2
00:59:25●fetch VNM.VN daily 10y → 2588 bars for rsi2
00:59:25●fetch VIC.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2
00:59:25●fetch VCB.VN daily 10y → 2588 bars for rsi2
00:59:24●fetch SSI.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2
00:59:24●fetch MWG.VN daily 10y → 2588 bars for rsi2
00:59:24●fetch HPG.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2
00:59:23●fetch FPT.VN daily 10y → 2597 bars for rsi2
00:59:23●fetch XLI daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:22●fetch XLV daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:22●fetch XLE daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:22●fetch XLF daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:21●fetch XLK daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:21●fetch EEM daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:21●fetch EFA daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:21●fetch MDY daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:20●fetch DIA daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:20●fetch IWM daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:20●fetch QQQ daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:19●fetch SPY daily 10y → 2514 bars for rsi2
00:59:19█daily run started — 8 strategies × 3 baskets
00:44:40█run finished — 55,051 trades on record
00:44:40●fetch BTC-USD daily max → 3336 bars for btc-trend
00:44:37●fetch VNM.VN daily max → 3752 bars for vn-trend
00:44:37●fetch VIC.VN daily max → 3761 bars for vn-trend
00:44:37●fetch VCB.VN daily max → 4303 bars for vn-trend
00:44:37●fetch SSI.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend
00:44:37●fetch MWG.VN daily max → 3158 bars for vn-trend
00:44:37●fetch HPG.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend
00:44:37●fetch FPT.VN daily max → 4312 bars for vn-trend
00:44:36●fetch TQQQ daily max → 4186 bars for trend3x
00:44:36●fetch QQQ daily max → 6935 bars (safe asset for trend3x)
00:44:35●fetch LTC-USD daily 20y → 3218 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch AVAX-USD daily 20y → 2204 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch LINK-USD daily 20y → 2819 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch DOGE-USD daily 20y → 2649 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch ADA-USD daily 20y → 3093 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch BNB-USD daily 20y → 3255 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch XRP-USD daily 20y → 3076 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch SOL-USD daily 20y → 2246 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch ETH-USD daily 20y → 3336 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch BTC-USD daily 20y → 3336 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:35●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)
00:44:35●fetch E1VFVN30.VN daily 20y → 2533 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:34●fetch VNM.VN daily 20y → 3752 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:34●fetch VIC.VN daily 20y → 3761 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:34●fetch VCB.VN daily 20y → 4303 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:33●fetch SSI.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:33●fetch MWG.VN daily 20y → 3158 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:33●fetch HPG.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:33●fetch FPT.VN daily 20y → 4312 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:33●fetch BIL daily 20y → 4868 bars (safe asset for dual-momentum)
00:44:32●fetch XLI daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:32●fetch XLV daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum
00:44:32●fetch XLE daily 20y → 5031 bars for dual-momentum

Written by the agent as it ran, not composed for this page afterwards. The log is shared across every strategy because one run computes them all — that is genuinely how it works.